Article
Open Access
Mean-variance tradeoff of bitcoin inverse futures
1 China School of Banking and Finance, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing, China
2 School of International Economics and Management, Beijing Technology and Business University, Beijing, China
3 Department of Mathematics, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, USA
  • Volume
  • Citation
    Deng J, Pan H, Zhang S, Zou B. Mean-variance tradeoff of bitcoin inverse futures. Blockchain 2024(1):0005, https://doi.org/10.55092/blockchain20240005. 
  • DOI
  • Copyright
    Copyright2024 by the authors. Published by ELSP.
Abstract

Bitcoin inverse futures are dominant derivative contracts traded in the cryptocurrency market. We aim to understand the mean-variance tradeoff of such contracts through quantitative studies. To this purpose, we derive explicit representations for the expectation and variance of the returns on Bitcoin inverse futures and obtain their first-order approximations. The empirical findings show that Bitcoin inverse futures are more (resp. less) risky than standard futures when the market is in backwardation (resp. contango). We further find that Bitcoin inverse futures bear higher downside risk, as measured by semi-deviation, than standard futures.

Keywords

bitcoin; downside risk; inverse futures; volatility

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